FTTH_Conference2010

【2010 FTTH Conference & Expo】 †

• 2010年9月12日から16日、Las Vegas,The Venetian Hotel
  

【FTTH市場】 †

• FTTH Council Press Release 2010 Sep.
  

• FTTH Market North America
  

  FTTH Market North America
  Year	Homes Passed	Marketed	Connected	Year	Homes Passed	Marketed	Connected
  Sep-01	19,400	9,400	5,500	Sep-06	6,099,000	5,079,999	1,011,000
  Mar-02	--	--	--	Mar-07	8,003,000	6,643,000	1,478,597
  Sep-02	72,100	72,100	22,500	Sep-07	9,552,300	7,996,400	2,142,000
  Mar-03	--	--	--	Mar-08	11,763,000	10,082,065	2,912,500
  Sep-03	180,300	180,300	64,700	Sep-08	13,825,000	12,369,000	3,760,000
  Mar-04	--	--	--	Mar-09	15,170,900	13,875,600	4,422,000
  Sep-04	970,00	413,221	146,500	Sep-09	17,227,000	16,048,500	5,275,000
  Mar-05	1,619,500	829,700	213,000	Mar-10	18,249,900	16,992,600	5,804,800
  Sep-05	2,696,500	1,754,300	322,700	Sep-10	19,966,200	18,167,300	6,452,300
  Mar-06	4,089,000	3,218,600	671,000	Source：RVALLC 2010

  
  
• All-Fiber Networks Now Pass 20 Million North American Homes
  • (Las Vegas, NV) - End-to-end fiber optic networks capable of delivering enormous levels of bandwidth are now available to 20 million North American homes, according to an analysis released today by the Fiber-to-the Home (FTTH) Council.
    
    The Council also announced that 6.45 million households on the continent now receive Internet, television and/or voice services over fiber to the home networks, an increase of about 650,000 from six months ago. The figures were released at the 2010 FTTH Conference & Expo, the fiber to the home industry's annual conference, which is being held this week in Las Vegas.
    
    The precise number of "homes passed" by FTTH networks when the survey data was compiled is 19,966,000, representing about 17.4 percent of North American households, and up from about 18,250,000 homes passed measured six months ago.
    The survey of broadband providers throughout North America, which is conducted by RVA Market Research, found that FTTH networks are continuing to expand beyond Verizon's $23 billion deployment of its FiOS fiber to the home network, with hundreds of smaller telecoms across the continent now moving forward with FTTH upgrades.
    
    "All indications are that a large number of small and medium-sized telecoms and other broadband providers - more than 750 by our count - have either upgraded to FTTH or are in the process of doing so," said Joe Savage, President of the FTTH Council, a non-profit organization of more than 200 companies and organizations dedicated to expanding the deployment of all-fiber, next-generation networks. "In addition, our earlier surveys show that the vast majority of the remaining telecoms are seriously considering going all-fiber in the next several years."
    
    "Clearly, any provider of telecommunications services has to be thinking how they are going to meet the ever-expanding bandwidth needs of their subscribers. And FTTH is really the only cost-effective way to future-proof a network against this increasing demand," he added.
    
    Michael Render of RVA, who conducted the survey, noted that "the number of homes passed by FTTH networks as expanded by 100 times since the FTTH Council was founded nine years ago, with growth really beginning to accelerate in 2005."
    

RFPON-Fiber Technology supporting an Emerging SMB Opportunity for Cable †

• by Aurora Networks
  

Commercial Se rices; Cable's Next Big Frontier †

• MSO aggressively pursuing high growth commercial applications
  • Managed Business Services
  • Business Video Conferencing
  • Smart Grid
  • Cell Tower Buck-haul
• SMB/SME Market
  • Revenues projected to grow to 10B in 2012
  • Market size
    

    Projected U.S. Cable Industry Commercial Svcs. Growth ('09-'14)
    Year	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	CAGR
    Total Businesses Passed (mil.)	4.4	4.7	4.9	5.1	5.2	5.3	3.4%
    % of Total Businesses (%)	59%	62%	64%	66%	66%	67%	--
    Total Businesses Customers (mil.)	1.4	1.5	1.6	1.7	1.9	2.0	7.7%
    % Pen. Total Businesses Passed(%)	31%	31%	33%	34%	36%	38%	--
    Total Annual Revenue ($mil.)	3,282	4,192	5,405	7,014	8,504	9,718	24.2%
    Source：2010 SNL Kagan, a division of SNL Financial LC, estimates

    
    

SMB:Cable Acess Technology Alternatives †

• DOCSIS3.0 - Today's Technology of Choice
  • Channel bonding a huge bandwidth booster
  • BUT coaxial-based
• The Fiber Imperative
  • Virtually no capacity constraints
  • Fiber plant inherently more reliable
  • Reduced OPEX
• Ideal FTTH technology for Cable Operators should:
  • Meet requirements of new SMB services while preserving Cable's leadership in residential CATV
  • Minimize disruption of existing cabel plants

Conclusion †

• SMB/SME a high growth market for Cable
• RFPON is a Cable-centric FTTH architecture that constitutes:
  • Virtual Hub-Based RFoG
  • Node PON
  • DOCSIS Provisioning Software
• Node PON has significant advantages over traditional chassis PON
  • Provide Gigabit speeds leveraging existing HFC infrastructure
  • Superior Reach and Resiliency with grater Fiber Preservation
  • Low Start-up Costs with quick ROI credentials
• DOCSIS Provisioning Software component preserves cable operators existing investments in OSS software
• All-in--all RFPON designed to offer High Capacity and High Availability making it highly suited for SNB/SME applications

2010 Update Regulation and Legislation
affecting FTTH Deployments（規制動向のまとめ） †

• Thomas Chohen, Partner, Kelley Drye & Warren LLT
  tcohen@kelleydrye.com

Implementation of the National Broadband Plan †

• Major Proceedings
  • Reform Universal Service Funding and Intercarrier Compensation
  • Allocate 500MHz of new Spectrum
• Other Key Proceedings
  • Establish Broadband Performance Standards
  • Replacement of Set Top Box with Gateway Device
  • Adopt Favorable Pole Attachment Rates and Practices

But First... The Comcast Decision Intervenes †

• The Comcast Decision by the U.S. Court of Appeals
  • The Issue: Whether the FCC has the authority to regulate and broadband Internet service provider's network management practices pursuant to its Title I (ancillary authority) as set forth in the Comcast-BitTrent desision
  • The Decision:"Because the Commission failed to tie its assertion of ancillary authority over Comcast's Internet service to any 'Statutorily mandated responsibility'," the Federal Court of Appeals vacated the Order
  • The Impact in General: The Federal Court of Appeals handed the FCC a major defeat; the Commission now needs to find sufficient authority somewhere in the Communications Act if it will have the ability to impose Net Neutrality/Traffic Management rules and otherwise regulate broadband Internet access service
  • The Impact on the National Broadband Plan: Can the FCC find sufficient ancillary authority to implement specific parts of the plan, or should it instead base its implementation of the plan on a declaration that broadband Internet access service (or the transport component thereof) is a Title II service?

Reaction to the Comcast Decision †

• The FCC's Launches Title II Reclassification Notice of Inquiry
  Third Way Approach
  • Internet based information services remain generally unregulated under Title I
  • Regulate the Internet connectivity service as a telecommunicaitons service
  • Forbear under Section 10 of the Act from applying many provisions of Title II
  • FTTH Council Filings: PDF1 PDF2
• FCC vs. Congress: Who should take the lead?
• Negotiations Ensue
  • FCC Chairman's Efforts
  • Verizon-Google Agreement
  • Other Negotiations
• September 1st FCC Issues Further Notice on Two under-Developed Issues in the Open Internet Proceeding: Mobile Wireless and Specialized (or Manged) Services
  FTTH Council Filing on Network management and Mnaged Services; PDF3
• Specialized Services
  • Concerns - Broadband providers may use specialized services to supplant or bypass broadband Internet access service and any open internet protections or engage in anti-competitive conduct
  • Potential Policy Approaches
    • Definitional Clarity
    • Truth in Advertising
    • Disclosure
    • Non-exclusivity in specialized services
    • Limit specialized service offerings
    • Guarantee capacity for broadband Internet access service

Implementation of the National Broadband Plan †

• Proceedings Already Launched
  • USF NOI/NPRM
  • Network Gateway NOI & CableCard NPRM
  • Pole Attachments Order & FNPRM
  • E-Rate NPRM
  • Mobile Roaming Order & FNPRM
  • Survivability NOI
  • Cybersecurity Certification NOI
  • WCS/SDARS (2.3 GHz) Report and Order
• Proceedings On Deck
  • Spectrum
    • Spectrum Sharing / Wireless Back-haul
    • TV White Spaces
    • Broadcast TV Innovation
  • Universal Service / Adoption
    • Rural Health Care Reform
    • Lifeline Flexibility
    • USF Transformation & Contributions
    • Inter-carrier Compensation
  • Competition / Infrastructure
    • Performance Measurement & Transparency and Disclosure
    • Special Access

Reform Universal Service Funding and Inter-carrier Compensation (Stage 1-3) †

• Stage1 (2010-2011)
  • Improve USF performance and accountability
    • Move oversight of audits to Managing Director's Office
    • Implement a new Improper Payments Information Act assessment program
    • Implement a new compliance audit program
  • Create the Connect America Fund (CAF)
    • Funding for broadband and high-quality voice-grade service in "unserved" areas
    • At most one subsidized provider of broadband per area
    • Eligibility criteria should be company- and technology -agnostic
    • Use mechanisms to ensure funding is efficient
  • Create the Mobility Found (One time support for deployment of 3G networks)
  • Adopt a framework for Inter-carrier Compensation (ICC) reform that would eliminate per-minute charges over time while enabling cost recovery through other mechanisms
  • Examine middle-mile costs and pricing
• Stage2 (2012-2016)
  • Begin making disbursements from the CAF
  • Broaden the universal service contribution base
  • Begin a staged transition of reducing per-minute rates for inter-carrier compensation (ICC)
    • Reduce intrastate access charges to interstate levels over two to four years while permitting increases in subscriber line charges
    • Reduce interstate charges to reciprocal compensation levels
    • Reduce originating access rates
• Stage3 (2017-2020)
  • Manage the total size of the USF to remain close to it current size (in 2010 dollars)
  • Eliminate the legacy High-Cost program, with all federal funding to flow through the CAF
  • Continue reducing ICC rates by phasing out per-minute rates for the origination and termination of telecommunications traffic

Reform Universal Service Funding and Inter-carrier Compensation (Competition) †

• Competing Policy Agendas
  • Incumbent Rural Local Exchange Providers (OPASTCO, NCTA, WTA, NECA)
    • Provide sufficient support for incumbents to deploy higher-speed broadband
  • Incumbent Mid- Tier Local Exchange Providers
    • Broadband Now Proposal --6 Mbps within 5 years, $800/line of private investment
  • AT&T and Verizon
    • More amenable to reform proposed in NBP; Pressing for ICC Reforms
  • Local Wire line Competitors
    • Cable - Limit funding to truly unserved areas
  • Wireless Competitors
    • Major Wireless Companies - Limit funding but any funding should be technology neutral
    • Rural Wireless Companies - Continue sufficient support
• Boucher/Terry Legislation (HR 5828)
  • Distributions -
    • USF recipients have broadband deployment obligations
    • The FCC is directed to develop a new cost model to culculate high cost support
    • USF support limited in "competitive areas"
    • Competitive bidding for wireless support
    • Size of USF is constrained
  • Contributions
    • FCC to determine whether to assess based on revenues, numbers, or a combination
  • Inter-carrier Compensation
    • FCC to complete proceeding within one year of enactment

Some Other Issues †

• Access to Video Programming
  • Comcast/NBCU Merger Proceeding
• Privacy
  • Congress considers amending statutes
  • FTC on track to new privacy paradigm

National Broadband Residential Market Research (October 2010) †

• by Ellis D. Hill, Exec. Director, Broadband Multi_Media Marketing Association(BMMA)
  President, Research First, Inc. 205-995-8866 begin_of_the_skype_highlighting              205-995-8866      end_of_the_skype_highlighting begin_of_the_skype_highlighting              205-995-8866      end_of_the_skype_highlighting ellis@researchfirst.com Homepage
• n=1.035; 95% confidence; +-3.5% margin of error

Internet Connection Technology †

Internet Connection Speed at Home †

Importance of Broadband (1) †

• To which of the following services do you or others in your household subscribe? Select All that apply.

  Services In Home
  Question	BB Subs	Gen Pub
  1.Internet Service	94%	77%
  2.Home phone	83%	94%
  3.Subscription TV	82%	75%
  4.Wireless phone	81%	71%
  5.Don't know/No Ans	1%	2%
  Source：BMMA

  
  
• Regardless of which services you currently have, which of the following services would you consider to be the most important? Select just one.

  Most Important Service
  Service	BB Subs	Gen Pub
  1.Internet Service	48%	19%
  2.Wireless phone	28%	28%
  3.Home phone	10%	42%
  4.Subscription TV	6%	9%
  5.Don't know/No Ans	1%	2%
  Source：BMMA

• If you ware to move, would the availability of BB be a key decision factor regarding where you would live?

  BB Impact On Move
  Yes/No	BB Subs	Gen Pub
  Yes	70%	32%
  No	28%	62%
  Don't know/No Ans	2%	5%
  Source：BMMA

Importance of Broadband (2) †

• BB Important for Quality of Life & Economy?
  

  BB Important QoL & Ecmy
  Yes/No	BB Subs	Gen Pub
  Yes	89%	77%
  No	9%	18%
  Don't know/No Ans	2%	5%
  Source：BMMA

  
  
• How important are the following quality of life aspects that could be impacted by the use of broadband technology? Rate each on a scale from 1 to 5 where 1= Not important and 5= Very Important

  BB Important QoL
  Question	% of answer 5=Very Imp.
  1.Families stay in touch	63%
  2.Able to Work at Home	60%
  3.Home banking	54%
  4.Education opp from home	50%
  5.Reduce travel	42%
  6.Remote health care svcs.	41%
  Source：BMMA

Keynote Discussion - Broadband in America: A Current Affairs Perspective: †

• Sept. 15, 2010
  • Moderator (M) : Tom Cohen, FTTH Legal Counsel - Kelley, Drye & Warren, LLP
  • Speaker(V) : Eric Fitzgerald Reed, Vice President - Market Issues and Policy - Verizon Communications
  • Speaker(A) : Kathleen Franco, Executive Director, Public Policy - AT&T Services, Inc.

Introduction †

• (A): This year AT&T invested 19-20 Billion dollars. Beyond BB..Fiber 880k mile / BB sub.7.4M / U-verse sub. 2.5M. Wireless traffic increase 5000% last 5 years. Accelerate HSPA 7Mbsp upgrade.
• (V): FiOS start from 2004...6 years plan has been completing. But if we found new market we will continue to expand FiOS network. 5 years ago, T1 price is about ＄700. Now FiOS will offer 100Mbps about ＄100! We VZC will more commit for Video Business. And we are preparing 1Gbps which recently finish field trial successfully. Wireless...Back-hole network be more important than ever, because LTE traffic will be 100 times bigger than existing 3G traffic.

Comment of Network Neutrality & Title 2 †

• (A): BB整備は過去10年に渡って続けてきた。まだ、BB規制は時期尚早だ。NBPは支援するし、Open Internet Policyも問題ないと考えている。しかし、ブロードバンドにおいてTitle IIへの移行は無意味だ。FCCは更なるコメントを集めているが、問題は解決されないだろう。
  ネットワーク･マネージメントは重要な問題と考えている。ネットワーク･マネージメントの明確な定義が議論の出発点となるだろう。高いサービスを提供するには、これまでの古いブロードバンド規制では難しい。
  ブロードバンドについては、特別グループを編成し取り組んでいる。これはFCCに適切な技術的アドバイスを提供するためで、彼らの政策における技術面と裏打ちとなるだろう。
• (V): ネットワーク･マネージメントの問題は難しい。バイパスなどの複雑な要素を持っているためで、議論はつきない。ワイヤレス（携帯ブロードバンド）に対する規制のあり方は重要で、FCCの動きに注意を払っている。FCCは同分野に対してブロードバンド規制をすべきではない。ネット･サービスの次世代化において、ブロードバンド規制は意味を持たない。規制を導入すれば我が社やAT&Tの投資意欲を減退させるだけだ。
  FCCが規制を行うのではなく、ちゃんとした議会の立法過程を経た上で、ブロードバンド規制を行うべきだ（←FCC委員長の独走を暗に非難）
  

Comment of Google-Verizon file †

• (V): 今やろうとしているブロードバンド規制は、古い考え方でしかない。ネット中立性は公平性（フェアネス）と不当アクセス（ディスクリミネーション）を分けて考えるべきだ。それぞれに合わせて、適切な規制のあり方を検討すべきだろう。
  回線の品質（QoS）と価格は、一致しなければならない。中立性推進派のすべてを同じにすると言う主張は、不合理だ。ブロードバンドの整備を促進することは重要で、規制導入はそれを萎縮させる。（←Google Verizon合意は、こうした主旨をベースにしている）

Comment of USF reform †

• (M):11月から12月に掛けて、FCCはユニバーサル・サービス基金改革に着手する。その点については？
• (A): USFの改革は必要で、AT&Tは大きな期待をもって行方を見守っている。
• (V): CAF（Connect America Fund）とMF（Mobile Fund）の設立は必要だと感じている。ユニバーサル・サービス基金改革は2011年最大の課題となるだろう。